Re: Trusting a Read vs. Poker Logic - 10/20 NL
I think on the river you have to shove here. I don't see how there is any way Chubs checks ALL the way down here with kkk or 999 especially on the river. If he has 999 and he was afraid of you having kkk surely he can't think that anymore after you check the turn. And if he has kkk surely he bets the river EVERY time with this, since if he was trying to induce another bet by you on the turn and you didn't bite then I am guessing he would have to bet the river. If I had 999 here and I was him I would be trying to get money out of you in a sidepot because it is very likely Bears may have kkk here. I think Chubs has either poorly played AA here(by not 4 betting pre when it seemed very likely that he could be in a 5-way pot oop with AA) or ak. My guess is you checked the river and Chubs showed AA and Bears showed kkk and you immediately got up from the table and walked laps around the casino saying I knew my logic was right.
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