Bubble of a FTP Freeroll - When is folding here good?

Ontario_Tory · #1 06-22-2007, 11:38 AM

This was in one of the FTP Fantasy Poker freerolls - top 1,000 people for each event qualified for the freeroll - $2000 total prize pool. In this one, 380 people played, top 90 ITM. 90th gets $8, 45th gets $10, $360 for 1st place.

Villain in this hand has been pushing liberally, so his range is HUGE. I've also seen him fold for an extra $300 (!!!) two hands prior. So I'm sure I'm ahead.

Not worried about spoiling things by saying the result of the hand - I pushed, I was ahead, he sucked out, I finished 91st.

My question is this: What size would my stack have to be for folding into the money the right play? I figured I'm playing to win, this is a great opportunity to double up - let's push. If I lose, so be it.

That being said, after the hand I started thinking about it. Top 90 get paid, but spots 18 - 90 are paid basically the same amount ~$9. Even doubling up, I would have been behind the average stack by a fair bit, with a long way to go before 'significant' money. So was my stack small enough to justify folding into the money?

The hand:

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Tournament
Blinds: t120/t240
(Ante: t25)
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: t5075
UTG+1: t18795
CO: t2615
Button: t21005
SB: t15335
Hero: t1665

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
3 folds, Button raises to t990, SB folds, Hero raises all-in t1640, Button calls t650 (pot was t2900).

Flop: 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (t3550, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: t3550)

Turn: 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (t3550, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: t3550)

River: Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (t3550, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: t3550)

Results:
Final pot: t3550
Button showed Qs 3c
Hero showed Ac Jc