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#13
06-21-2007, 01:23 PM
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Re: What is the chance that a complete unknown wins the main event?
Since Moneymaker won there has been at least one bracelet winner at the FT (Arieh and Harrington 2004, Matusow 2005 and Cunningham 2006). If you figure on an expectation of 1.0 bracelet winners at this year's ME and give them a better than average chance to win, it's hard to see how the chance a complete unknown winning will be >90%.
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