My two pair vs. a TAG's turn donk

[bozlax]

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Agreed and understood. So I guess we are looking at him making his own 2 pair when the 2 hits?

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Ok, here we go again.

Assuming he's made AT LEAST two pair is reasonable when an unknown donks like this. Now, list all the hands that might've either flopped or turned two pair or better. Cull the ones that you don't think would've been raised pf (T2o, for instance), and the ones that would've capped preflop (AA/JJ/TT). Count up the number of combinations of those hands, and look at how many Hero is behind vs. ahead.