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$100NL, SB vs. BB, JJ, lots of questions
Villain is in the BB, I have $110 in the SB, he has me covered by a lot. He seems very tight, but I haven't been at the table *too* long, and so no great reads.
Pre-flop, there's one limper, folded around to me, I make it $4 with JJ. He reraises to $11, I call. Flop ($23) is A62, no flush draw. I lead out for $18 (?). He calls. Oops. Turn ($59) is a blank, I check, intending to give up if he bets (?). He bets $24. I have $80 left. $24, plus timing, makes him seem really weak, aliens take over my mouse, and I shove. This whole hand has me a little confused: - What about pre-flop? The guy's been super quiet, so I think his range is AA,KK,QQ,JJ,AKs,AKo. Does that sound about right? - If that's right, does that mean I should be folding my JJ to his reraise, calling and playing for set value, or putting in another raise preflop? No thoughtless "LOL if you fold here he can reraise you every time and you'll be super exploitable" replies, please. I hadn't seen a reraise from him yet. If he's going to adjust to exploit me, it'll take a little time and I'll notice. - What about this flop? My instinct is to c-bet Ace high flops, especially OOP, and it seems really weak to just check/fold here. On the other hand, if I'm right about his range pre-flop, I'm beaten by 100% of it, he has an ace 19/32 times and a non-ace 13/32, he's never folding an Ace, and he might not fold some other hands. - My shove at the end is lighting money on fire, right? There's no way the villain gets there and folds, even if I'm right that he's weak, right? - Seriously, what about pre-flop here? |
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