#12
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Re: Iffy at Best?
Wackjob - The 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] on the turn is a terrible card for you.
You're have to think you're probably ahead after the flop, even when the betting goes nuts behind you. Of course you worry about being up against a flopped set when Button three-bets. But I wouldn't think, given your opinion of Button, that the three-bet necessarily means a set. And there's a rather low probability Button has flopped a set, only about 4% or so. Still, it is possible, so that the three bet gives you pause. And then the 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] on the turn enables low for an opponent, so that now you are probably only playing for half the pot. But you don't have enough opponents to play for half the pot. You didn't necessarily need to make a flush or a set or two pairs yourself on the turn, but you had to still have a better chance to scoop than you do with three low cards on the board. And therefore you have to reluctantly give up your hand to the turn bet. It's a tough fold because it looks like BB doesn't have much and like Button is betting low. And therefore you reason that you have a decent shot at high. But although you do have a chance for high, it's not good enough, with low enabled, to continue. It's a tough fold on the turn, but I believe that is your play. Buzz |
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