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here is my thought process on this hand (no previous history with villan):
i bet the flop to see if i am ahead...on the turn i am not sure anymore so i check to see if he'll take the free card....he doesnt so i think he could just be trying to take the pot down as the bet is not that strong.... on the river i elect to call 22 to win 98 as i only need to be ahead one in 4.5 to break even here so i figure its a reasonable call with an over pair. this involves a change of strategy for me. before i read this post from juu (although it was a reraised pot which is different i guess), i would always have bet that turn. what do you think? you could argue i am forfiting my fold equity to encourage him to stack off with a worse hand, either that or i am becoming a calling station. which is it? i guess you could say that if the money is going in anyway then i need to put it in first, but im not sure that maximises my profit if i am ahead. i am interested to know peoples thought processes here. Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font> MP2 ($17) <font color="#C00000">Hero ($86.50)</font> <font color="#C00000">Button ($49.95)</font> SB ($100.50) BB ($90.50) UTG ($134.30) UTG+1 ($55.35) MP1 ($263.92) Preflop: Hero is CO with J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. UTG calls $1, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $5</font>, Button calls $5, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, UTG folds. Flop: ($12.50) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $8</font>, Button calls $8. Turn: ($28.50) 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">Button bets $14</font>, Hero calls $14. River: ($56.50) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> Hero checks, Button betss $22.95 (All-In), Hero calls $22.95. Final Pot: $99.90 |
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