#11
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Re: NL50 - small set and facing heat.
Villains don't always have sets when it seems likely they have them. I always fear the monsters, but I've never laid a set down yet on dry boards. I hope I can remember hands like the following and continue not laying them down. Villain is 32/9 so similarish stats to your villain's.
I was very sure he had a set here, but turns out he didn't: SB: $125.50 <font color="black">BB: $319.10</font> UTG: $199.10 <u>UTG+1: $189</u> <font color="black">MP1: $341.70</font> <u>Hero (MP2): $225.35</u> MP3: $131.20 CO: $67 BTN: $315.25 <font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (9 Players) UTG folds, UTG+1 calls $2, <font color="red">MP1 raises to $8</font>, Hero calls $8, 4 folds, BB calls $6, UTG+1 calls $6 <font color="black">Flop:</font> ($33) 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T 2 (4 Players) BB checks, UTG+1 checks, <font color="red">MP1 bets $16</font>, Hero calls $16, BB folds, <font color="red">UTG+1 raises to $40</font>, MP1 calls $24, Hero calls $24 <font color="black">Turn:</font> ($153) J (3 Players) <font color="red">UTG+1 bets $80</font>, MP1 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $160</font>, UTG+1 calls all-in for $61 Uncalled bet of $19 returned to Hero <font color="black">River:</font> ($435) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players - 1 All-In) Pot Size: $435 ($3 Rake) UTG+1 had 4 2 (two pairs, Fours and Twos) and LOST (-$189) Hero had 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (three of a kind, Twos) and WON (+$243) I would start considering folding bottom sets against weak-tight regulars against whom you have a lot of hands where they don't go out of the line. |
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