200 NL: AA donk-bet into on turn

RAHZero · #1 04-01-2007, 07:28 PM

Ultimate Bet No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

MP ($221.65)
Button ($209.80)
SB ($213.40)
BB ($225.85)
Hero ($296.15)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
Hero raises to $8, MP calls $8, 1 fold, SB calls $7, 1 fold.

Flop: ($26) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $16, MP folds, SB calls $16.

Turn: ($58) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
SB bets $12, Hero ???.

I've just moved up to 200 NL at UB, so no concrete reads. The first cold-caller seems like a pretty solid TAG, he's at several tables and has decent stacks on all of them. Have him at 24/20 over about 140 hands, but he doesn't figure too heavily into the hand. The main villain seems pretty fishy. I have him at 38/20 over 70 hands. Couple interesting hands that I've seen from him:
1. Min-raised UTG with K4s. Got one call from the BB, min-bet on a K-high flop, checked behind on the turn and then minbet again when checked to on the river.
2. Completed SB with 94s in blind vs. blind, then minbet a 742 flop, got minraised and called the minraise and a minbet on a 6 turn.

Overall, seems to be a pretty incompetent player.

I'm definitely not folding here, so it's a decision between calling and re-evaluating on the river, or raising and then most likely folding to a push. I think his range is pretty wide here, and his donkbet confused the heck out of me. The board is semi-scary, and there are a ton of river cards I don't want to see, which seems to argue for raising. At the same time, he's pretty donkish and I think likely to bet smallish on the river as well if I just call, and I'd hate to be 3-bet here. Thoughts?