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#11
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[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Even considering how high his BB/100 is? I just learned about confidence intervals in a class. I should be able to figure this out. Im gonna try anyways. edit-ok nm its already been done, i think this is what you are talking about anyways. [/ QUOTE ] Confidence intervals don't correctly predict the likelihood of this player being a winner, since this player was chosen because of the abnormality of his winrate. [/ QUOTE ] We are not talking confidence interval between a population of players, but confidence interval for a 100K sample of hands where each member is 100 hands!!!!!!!!!!!! [/ QUOTE ] What? This still doesn't get around the selection bias. |
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