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Old 03-19-2007, 11:47 AM
fishyak fishyak is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 1,079
Default Re: B&M LO8 3/6 Full Kill hand

I'll come to one last defense of the flop call. You closed the action. You knew that it could only cost you one bet and if your turn card didn't improve your situation - you could get out. Rough odds can give you some idea on how to price the value of potential improvement on the turn, but those same estimates have also shown how complicated that calculation truly is and how it would be impossible to do more than guesstimate live. And look at the upside, the turn card vastly improved your outs and your chance of scooping. I do not think the value of that improved position on the turn was properly credited in the decision to call the flop. But what made it easy for me was the fact that your bet closed the action. You knew exactly what that flop bet would cost you and that is not often the case. We often have to factor in the possibility of a raise behind us which would have made your flop call much more tenuous.
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