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Old 03-06-2007, 10:52 PM
JCurtin JCurtin is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: The calling station...
Posts: 18
Default High variance situation: Gutter & FD vs. LAG

This hand just came up and I'm having difficulty deciding whether I like my line or not.

Background: Villan is pretty loose aggressive, but nothing crazy. Stats: 33/19/3+
My Stats: 21/16/3.5 (not too laggy, but I was card dead for a bit)
Raise the button, standard. Cont. bet on a decent flop, standard.
His raise here seemed to be a hand definer. I figured him for something like A9, AJ, maybe even getting cute with an 89. From his play, I'm pretty sure he 3 bets me with AK, AQ, 10s. 7s are another possible hand, but I think he'd 3 bet with them at least 50% of the time.

I decide that this is a great spot to represent AK or even A10 and make a big raise. This is where it gets interesting. Now, I have to give him credit for a hand. Throughout the hand, I had him on just a big A. A flush draw is possible, but it seems to me like he's overplaying a big A. 77 does however concern me at this point.

What is your opinion of my line on this hand and what is my move now? Can I give myself 13 clean outs? Am I justified in calling given his range, or would this be complete chip spewage?!

I'll post results and thoughts after some responses. Thanks guys!


Full Tilt Poker
$0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Ring Game
5 Players
LegoPoker Hand Converter

<font color="black">Stack Sizes</font>
CO: $143.90
Hero (BTN): $154.15
SB: $103.15
BB: $99
UTG: $92.50

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($1.5, 5 players)
UTG folds, CO folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $3.50</font>, SB calls $3, BB folds

<font color="black">Flop:</font> 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($8, 2 players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $5</font>, <font color="red">SB raises to $13</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $38</font>, <font color="red">SB raises all in to $100.15</font>
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