Reasons for not raising river
The reasons were pretty well stated by Justin before, but I think my read of villain makes it a more subjective decision. I think the likelihood that he bets this river looking for a call by a worse hand from me is very low. He would almost always check and call this river content to showdown his 7 or pp or catch me bluffing. He is obviously always betting an Ace or a 9, 1 of which we chop the other I lose. So to me just calling seems clear. Its of course possible for him to have a worse hand and still pay off a raise, but I think based on my read that the likelihood that both of those conditions could be met is low enough to make this a call.
|