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Old 02-20-2007, 11:57 PM
ImBen ImBen is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 627
Default Re: 2007 mlb season win totals

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Season long forecasting is one thing and handicapping is another. Since I only worry about one game at a time these projections (accurate or not) have very little bearing on whether the line is right or not on tonights game.

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Based on your comments in this thread, I'd say there's almost zero chance you're a lifetime winner betting baseball, in any form.

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Ok ImBen I'll bite. Just because this guy doesn't use Pecotas or other season "projections" he is a loser? Please explain that logic. Are you saying that a handicapper is a loser if he doesn't use these "computer projections"? It's probably the other way around. I believe it is probably the losers who depend on "projections" to handicap individual games.

As for projections, it is just a futile waste of time, unless you play fantasy baseball. What a player should or shouldn't do over a 162 "projected" season just doesn't really matter that much in a single game and I find it hard to believe that you guys would use said information to handicap an individual baseball game.

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His general philosophy isn't consistent with someone that can beat the market.
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