quick and dirty bottom-set theory

[pete fabrizio]

So often, people ask questions about bottom-set or other medium-strength hands on draw heavy boards facing a lot of action that go something like this:

"Board Qh Th 6c, I have 66xx and get re-raised, should I fold or push?"

And they get answers like:

"With a board like that, he has some kind of big wrap+flush draw a lot, so yeah get it in."

Now, I'm not saying it's necessarily wrong to push bottom set hard against this kind of board, but he cannot possibly have a big draw often enough to make it worth the times he has an overset, unless there is some other part of his range that you are absolutely crushing. So the most crucial question you should be asking yourself in this kind of spot isn't, "Could he be pushing a big draw?" but, "Could he be pushing 2 pair"?