NBA/NCAA Futures -- Longshots

[Homer]

<font color="blue">NBA</font>

Raptors to win East at 20-1 (5Dimes -- now 18-1).

There really aren't any standout teams in the East other than Detroit. Toronto, Washington and Cleveland seem to be in the 2nd tier, ahead of Indiana and Chicago (even though the Raptors have an almost identical record). Washington and Cleveland have been fairly inconsistent throughout the year and I think in the coming weeks Toronto could assert itself as the clear #2 team. Even if not, they can't be much worse than 5-1 against making the conference finals, at which point I could hedge if I wanted to.

Note that they are also available to win the NBA Championship at 55-1. This means if they would be less than a +195 dog in the NBA finals, this bet would be preferable. However, I think they would be a bigger dog (can anyone with more NBA knowledge confirm/deny), so I'm sticking with the 20-1 shot.

<font color="blue">NCAA</font>

Memphis to win it all at 40-1 (5Dimes).

I don't know much about them other than that they're ranked #8 in the nation and have an easy schedule the rest of the way if they can get past Gonzaga tomorrow. They should be either a 2 or 3 in the tournament, with an easy path to the Sweet 16. From there, I don't know what their chances are, but I'll take a stab at 40-1.

Kansas to win it all at 14-1 (5Dimes).

They are obliterating weak opponents and have played top 25 teams tight (beat #1 Florida and #18 Oklahoma St, lost to #6 A&amp;M by 3). I guess this is just a gut feeling for the most part (as opposed to the other two which I think are just soft lines that haven't been adjusted back into place yet). I've watched a number of their games and something about the way they play makes me think they will be a very tough team and can beat anyone in the tournament.

A couple others I considered but ultimately decided against are Georgetown at 30-1 and Wisconsin at 12-1.

Which longshots do you like right now?