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J\'s in CO vs. aggro SB defender
Villain is 22.1/15.6/3.9 post flop over 475 hands. I've not seen anything way out of line from him, just very aggro. I am about 19/9/2.2 and playing about that at this table, so he should see me as at least not a fish.
Full Tilt Poker Limit Holdem Ring game Limit: $0.50/$1 7 players Converter Pre-flop: (7 players) Hero is CO with J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3 folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises</font>, Button folds, <font color="#cc0000">SB 3-bets</font>, BB folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero caps</font>, SB calls. I had hoped for, and got,his RR from SB as standard blind defense. I briefly considered smooth-calling for deception, but decided against it. Flop: 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (9SB, 2 players) SB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#cc0000">SB raises</font>, Hero calls. My first instinct was to 3-bang, but I'm thinking this guy's solid and puts me on a real hand once I cap, so I think there's a greater than 50% chance he has me beat with QQ-AA or a set, he's probably 3 banging PF w/ any pair. But it's not likely enough he has me beat that I should fold, getting 12-1 now and 16-5 (in SB) to see River I only need to be good 1 in 4 and I'm quite sure I am. Also, and maybe more importantly, I think if I raise he folds anything I beat and raises anything that beats me. Turn: 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (6.5BB, 2 players) <font color="#cc0000">SB bets</font>, Hero calls. River: 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (8.5BB, 2 players) <font color="#cc0000">SB bets</font>, Hero calls. Anyone play differently? Also, this was an easy cap (assuming one does not go the deception route. I think my capping range at the time was AK and TT-AA. That's why I figured he put me on a strong hand. On further thought, against this type of villain my capping range should be more like 22+ (maybe 77+?) and AJ+. Does that sound right? |
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