#11
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Re: The Well: Performify
Consider the "typical" sports bettor that eventually goes busto (I'm thinking of the guy at the corner bar or someone who puts 1k into Bodog). Rank these factors from most to least important for why they go busto:
a) Handicapping (choosing the wrong side to frequently) b) Bank roll management (betting to high a % of their BR) c) Line Shopping (not finding the best line) d) Not taking advantage of bonii or arbs e) Other How often have you been ripped off on a sports bet? Please specify online vs. casino vs. bookie. When you decide to choose a side in an NFL game how do you choose moneyline or spread? Based on NFL data from the last ten years I created a converter to decide which was better. This system basically used the idea that when a team wins, they tend to win by x or more points y% of the time. I then worked backwards to turn this into a moneyline and compare it to published moneyline. Do you think a strictly nemerical evaluation can be used to make the decision on ML vs. spread or do you think that it is necesary to evaluate the details of each game to decide which choice is better? Why do you think that there is a push to outlaw online gambling? Do you see any sign that things will change? What did you think of the overtime pass interferenc call in the OSU vs. Miami National Championship game? Have you ever seen evidence or strongly suspected that any sporting event was fixed or point shaved? If so which one and why? |
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