#34
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Re: Conjecture and Question
If I have 10K, but an expectation of 40K, then the rest of the field's expectation must be collectively reduced by 30K. Whoever I double through is most likely someone with a below-10K expectation for two reasons.
1.Excluding me, the field is below average. 2.If this player was KO'd early on, it is more likely that they are a below-average player. The gain in expectation--for me & for the field--can't be very large when dead money meets its inevitable end. If I am so good that with 10K I have an expectation of 40K, aren't we basically assuming that I'll more than double up with great frequency? And when I do, won't I have to deal with a much greater proportion of Phil Ivey's than of Dmitri Nobles? |
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