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The Theory of PLO8 (low content)
I intend to spend the next two weeks working out the theory and math behind PLO8. I'll be writing a comprehensive analysis of starting hands and common post flop situations. The bias will be toward 100-200 PLO8 as played online but much of it will be applicable to other limits also.
Topics will include: <ul type="square">[*]Starting Hand Categories Ranked by: - Preflop Expectation vs Number of Opponents - Chance of flopping a high equity hand - Actual winrate from real data. - An analysis of each hand type by position. - List of the top X% of hand types ranked by profitability. [*]Common Flop Situations: -Various odds vs # of Opponents - Chance that opponents have a flush draw, nut low draw, second nut low draw, etc on various flops. -The Expectation Value of various hands on the flop: One Pair/Two Pair/Set/Flush/Low draw on a Rainbow/2 flush/1 low/ 2 low etc boards vs no. of opponents. -The Expectation Value of betting, raising, slowplaying, checkraising with hands of varying strengths. -Key implications of this. [*]Pot Building, Equity, and Expectation Some general theory to tie in with the above. [*]Metagame considerations Preflop raising, image, taking marginal spots - as applies to PLO8.[/list] I expect to spend a good many hours on this. I have a math degree so the math shouldn't be too hard (although very tedious [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]) Anyone have suggestions for further content/areas of enquiry? Odds they would like included? Situations for analysis? Also, it would help if I could get access to a solid winning player's database at the $200 level. I currently have about 7,000 hands at this level which is not enough to make fine distinctions between certain hand types - sample size is a killer when trying to find out the difference between A24x and A25x/A34x. Even a $100PL database would be very helpful. If no one is forthcoming (which I expect will be the case [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]) I'll mostly be using data from about my own 60K hands of $50 & $100PL. Any further suggestions, ideas, etc? |
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