Paperchamp's NFL week 15

[paperchamp]

Denver Broncos -2.5 @ Arizona Cardinals (-112)
Risk 1.12u to win 1u
I think this is as good as the line is going to be between now and gameday so I went ahead and grabbed it at Pinny. At first glance this looks like a terrible bet. Betting a favorite on the road when the favorite has been playing poorly and the dog has been playing well. However, two things are motivating me to take the Broncos. The first is that we have a decent AFC team against a sub-par NFC team. I've been looking for these types of match-ups all year because of the disparity in the conferences. So far they have worked well for me. Second, it's do or die for the Broncos. I think this factor is almost offset by the Cards wanting to save Dennis Green's job but still worth mentioning.

NFL YTD

Straight Picks: 14-13-1 (0 units)
2 Team Teasers: 15-6-1 (+17.9 units)
4 Team Teasers: 2-0 (+12 units)