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Max. EV Preflop strategy at loose/aggressive table
I'm playing a bit more live these days, and often the games are way better then the online games. A lot of loose players and when there are a few aggressive players in the game the result is that pots can get huge preflop (like 6/7 way preflop capped). The weird thing is that the postflop action is usually not very heavy, usaually someone bets while almost all the other players are calling at least the flop and the turn.
My question is: what is the best preflop strategy in a game like this? I know that some 2+2 books recommend playing only something like QQ+, AKs in a game like this, and while that would be a +EV strategy, I don't think it is the best strategy. When so much 'dead' money is entering the pot I think it should be possible to play more hands, altough usually there is one 'big' hand out there. What about playing JJ in a preflop capped pot? TT? 77? JTs? 22? 76s? I know that you usually wouldn't play these hands against a 3-bet and certainly not against a cap, but is it really -ev to play these hands? For example: if you play TT for set value only you will flop a set or better 7.5:1. You are paying 2BB preflop and when the pot is 7-way capped preflop it the size at the river will usually be between 25 and 35BB so it looks like it's ok to play TT preflop for set value. The problem is that a set isn't the nuts and you will probably win something like 75/80% of all hands when you flop a set. But even when you account for this it still looks +ev. So what about 77 (it will obviously win less pots), or what about 22? And how are suited connectors doing in a capped pot? I know that a preflop cap is bad for the postflop implied odds, but that is compensated by the decent preflop potodds and when you flop a great draw you will usually earn sklansky bucks on both the flop and turn. So: what hands could be played preflop in a game like this and under what conditions? |
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