Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > PL/NL Texas Hold'em > Small Stakes
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

 
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Prev Previous Post   Next Post Next
  #1  
Old 12-01-2006, 07:29 AM
FireStorm FireStorm is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Staten Island
Posts: 2,155
Default AA One Pair @ River. Obvious Fold?

Granted some may differ on flop/turn play here, but I'm interested in the river as played.

Live 1-2 NL game @ poker club, loose poorly played game. I have maybe 310 in front of me.

Preflop action is a bit fuzzy, but I have AsAx on the button or in the cutoff. 5 players limp to me, I make it $23 (I imagine about half of you are wondering about the raise to 11.5xBB preflop. In live 1-2 NL @ poker clubs like this, this is what it takes to thin fields with this many limpers, "standard" raises are never respected.)

Club owner, who is a maniac and almost always has suited trash, calls out of the blinds. Villian calls, one other player calls. 4 way to the flop, pot about $95. Villian is a woman who is a poor player, tight but calling station-esque preflop, and unfitting with the aforementioned, fires out big when she hits the flop.

Flop 9s-6s-4x. It goes check-Villian fires out $40-fold to me. I call, club owner folds. (Why just call here? Good question. I imagine everyone thinks raise is standard here, but A) if I shove, the only hand that calls is beating me B) I want to play a small pot here, as I have zero read and players of her caliuber usually don't fire out into preflop raisers). Heads up to turn, pot = 170.

Turn 3s. I have a spade redraw. Womans hands shake uncontrollably, it takes her a minute and a half to gather up another $40 bet. I call. (Anyone like a raise here? Is this nuts?) Pot = $250.

River is a red Jack. Woman goes instantaneously AI for $160.

Regardless of earlier streets, is this possibly in any way, shape or form a call I can make on the river? I folded pretty quickly and afterwards was told repeatedly that I was nuts for laying down the "sure" winner. As a matter of fatc I was so vehemently told that my fold was bad that I offered my remaining stack to anyone who could name 5 hands in the deck that I could beat, but, this is a story for another time.

Thoughts? -EV to call on river or not? It's $160 into $410, which is about 2.6-1. Is a one pair hand good here +/-30% of the time? What do you put her on? And can you win the "name the 5 hands I can beat in her range" challenge?
Reply With Quote
 


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 11:13 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.