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Old 11-19-2006, 01:03 PM
Performify Performify is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Sports Betting forum
Posts: 3,847
Default Performify\'s Pigskin Picks - Week Eleven

Sorry these are really late... busy week on the road a couple days and then the big UFC last night. Won't have time for detailed writeups here, but picks posted for the record:

Last week:
1-2, +1.89u on straight picks. Win on Game of the Week.
Win on Tease of the Week, +3u.
Total for the week: +4.89u

YTD RESULTS:
14-24-4 on posted picks, -11.74 units (excludes teasers)
3-4-3 on Game of the Week, -4.25 units.
5-3 on Tease of the Week, +4.6 units
Year to date combined on all posted NFL picks (includes teasers): -7.14 units

Dallas -1 -109 over Indy
Not the best line that was available on this game, by far, but that's the current so thats what I track against. Indy a huge favorite of the public, my system has Dallas winning this by a fieldgoal. My team is strongly built on the "need to win" factor and this is the definition of a disparity in need to win: Dallas has to have this game, Indy could care less. 27-24 Dallas. Game of the Week

Philly -13 +101 over Tennessee Titans
Philly is a game behind the Giants for the East, this is a must-win for them. Titans pass defense is struggling. Big day for McNabb, looking to put this game away early. Backdoor cover always a possibility but I have this as a big Eagles win. 28-13 Philly. Three unit play. Very close to being game of the week.

Chicago Bears -6 +101 over NY Jets
I have Chicago winning this by a touchdown, 24-17. Two unit play.

Panthers -6.5 +101 over St. Louis Rams
St. Louis is banged up on both sides of the ball. The Panthers are rolling and need this game. Panthers 24, St. Louis 17.

Tease of the Week: San Diego +2.5, Kansas City -9 (2-team, 6.5 point)
Teasing to San Diego +9, Kansas City -2.5. Really hoped the Dallas line was going to move enough to be a tease, but didn't quite get there. KC should take Oakland but might not cover with Oak's renewed defensive prowess, and I really like the Chargers to keep the Denver game close if not win outright. Five units.

<ul type="square">
Summary of Posted Picks [*] Dallas -1 -109 : 5.45u to win 5u[*] Philly -13 +101 : 3u to win 3.03u[*] Bears -6 +101 : 2u to win 2.02u[*] Carolina -6.5 -101 : 1.01u to win 1u[*] Teaser: San Diego +9, Kansas City -2.5 : 6u to win 5u (2-team, 6.5 point tease at -120)[/list]
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