JTs in middle position

[SeaEagle]

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At that point you could have as many as 14 outs, probably an effective 11, and I'm perfectly happy with that

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Hmmm. Getting heads up in a smallish pot where you're surely behind and have less than a 50% chance of pulling ahead is a sure recipe for bleeding chips.

Getting a free card on this flop is a good result. Being able to call one bet closing the action or get in a value raise if there's a bet and 2 calls are both decent results. Getting HU and being behind is the worst of the lot.

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Which I also think makes the river bet better since the pot is bigger and you've represented a hand better. I don't think the river bet in this pot has any chance of folding a guy who called on the turn. The only hand you'll fold here is one you already beat...i.e. 67. Off chance you fold QJ, but not enough to take a shot at a pot < 7 BB.


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I don't understand how a bigger pot makes the river bet better. Wouldn't villian be more likely to call in a bigger pot?

Also there are a ton of better hands that would fold here - any 2 spades or any 2 hearts with one card higher than a J. I would be interested in the hand range you have for villian that is only 1/6th flush draws and 5/6ths hands that are calling down.