Poker Tournament Formula Revisited

[Crix]

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Hi BigAlK:

Yes. If Player A at some point in a tournament has more chips than Player B then he is a favorite at that instant over Player B. And in your example, Player A does have a 2/3's chance to win the tournament.

best wishes,
Mason

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Surely this is only if A & B are the now the only players remaining at the point A doubles up. If there's 200 people in a tournament, player A doubles up on player C on the first hand you can't tell me he now has a 67% chance to win outright.

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Of course not. The example was for a heads-up situation.

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The phrase "at some point in a tournament" does not imply we have reached heads-up play.