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Old 11-01-2006, 03:18 PM
stickdude stickdude is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 913
Default When villian leads into you after a capped flop ($2/$4)

Just sat down, but villian's datamined stats were 29.91/26.17/3.68

Full Tilt Poker
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $2/$4
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $187
Hero: $181
CO: $14
Button: $113
SB: $69
BB: $55

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is UTG+1 with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
UTG calls, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises</font>, 2 folds, SB calls, <font color="#cc0000">BB 3-bets</font>, UTG calls, <font color="#cc0000">Hero caps</font>, SB folds, BB calls, UTG calls.

Flop: T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (14SB, 3 players)
<font color="#cc0000">BB bets</font>, UTG folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#cc0000">BB 3-bets</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero caps</font>, BB calls.

Turn: 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (11BB, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">BB bets</font>, Hero ?????

With that AF, I'm guessing he'd play TT+ this way, so there's a 50% chance I'm behind a set, and 50% chance he has a smaller overpair, and a small chance he's got a big draw (K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] type of draw). If he was capping with 89 on the flop, he just got there on the turn.

Is this a standard call-down, or does anyone raise? Obviously I'm not folding here with the pot as large as it is.
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