Panel hand #2 - river part 2 panel review

FUJItheFISH · #1 10-10-2006, 11:11 PM

You actually bet. MP1 calls, MP3 calls, button raises, hero?

Pot is 23.25 big bets when it is your turn.

(7 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]T [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]T [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]6 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img])2 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

Panelist 1
I hate that raise, but to me that would say that he held a pair of 2s the whole time and just hit a boat. No way! Even the worst player wouldn't have released those ducks earlier. I think we're looking at a worse flush here, but I just call going for the other overcalls. 

Panelist 2
This comes unexpected. Button's play looks much like a sandbagged monster (77, or Tx with a paired x, but maybe also only a lone T, given that he's loose) or a weaker flush. We may have beat BB, but we also may lose. Since nobody else raised we can assume to have the other players beat. This is the perfect time to go for overcalls, so call. 

Panelist 3
Man, I am the best. Button obviously has a flush. The only question here is whether to go for overcalls.

You collect a maximum of two more bets by going for overcalls. You'll get at least one more if you raise, the only question is whether we can assign a probability to the chance of getting called by one of the other players in the hand, or it getting capped by the button.

I'm bad at math, so I won't even bother giving you some lackluster attempt at an analysis of the chance of this happening.

The pot is large, and I think you get the greatest chance of winning the maximum by raising. So, yeah, I raise it. 

Panelist 4
The button raise has me a bit confused, he raised the flop and just called the check raise on the turn. I still say calling down is the correct answer. He should be aware of the flush and only raising with a better hand with that many folks in the pot. This is a crying call. 


*Edit credited to Aussie, thanks.