NFL Week 4(YTD: 47-40-3, +51.7 units)

[Assani Fisher]

Week 1: 20-10(66.66%), +14 units on 64 units wagered, ROI of +21.9%

Week 2: 14-17-1(45%), -5 units on 66 units wagered, ROI of -7.5%

Week 3: 13-13-2(50%), +54 units on 101 units wagered, ROI of +54%

Year to Date: 47-40-3(54%) +64 units(not counting juice) on 231 units wagered, ROI of 27%
+51.7 units(counting juice) on 231 units wagered, ROI of 22%


Please note that all lines are taken from sportsbook.com at the time of this posting.


Indy -9 at NYJets, o/u 46.5
Its no secret that I'm high on the Jets this year. With that said, this is a tough game to pick because it is easy to envision a blowout. Nevertheless I'll stick with my preseason call and take the Jets. I say they keep the scoring low and cover the spread. Jets +9(2 units), under 46.5(1 unit)

SD -2.5 at Baltimore, o/u 33.5
Neither of these teams have played any real competition yet. I just don't understand why SD is favored on the road here though. Rivers has yet to see a quality defense. I think he'll struggle here. The Ravens will score a defensive TD. Balt +2.5(4 units), over 33.5(2 units)

Min +1 at Buf, o/u 34.5
Meh...tough game to call. I really do like Minnesota, but Buffalo isn't an easy place to play. Low scoring game. I think the experience of Brad Johnson pulls it out in the 4th quarter. Min +1(1 unit), under 34.5(1 unit)

Dallas -9.5 at Tenn, o/u 37
Too many points here. I was all over Tennessee last week, and I'll ride that streak. Tenn +9.5(4 units), over 37(1 unit)

SF +7 at KC, o/u 40.5
Another line that confuses me. KC has shown nothing this year. I know that they're coming off the bye week and KC is a tough place to play, but still. I'll go with SF. I like the over as we know SF can score and I think Larry Johnson will finally have a huge game. SF +7(2 units), over 40.5(2 units)

NO + 7 at Car, o/u 41.5
Emotional letdown? Nah...NO is simply a good team this year. This line was clearly made according to last year's results. New Orleans is too respectable to be getting a touchdown here. NO +7(3 units), over 41.5(1 unit)

Ariz +7 at Atl, o/u 41
Atlanta was just embarrassed on national TV. I think they blow Arizona out here. Warner has no confidence anymore and will fumble a few times against a good defense. I see something like a 27-7 win here. Atl -7(6 units), under 41(1 unit)

Mia -3.5 at Hous, o/u 40.5
Miami continues to live off of preseason hype. Last week I faded them heavily as they were a ridiculous 10 point favorite. And this week they are a 3.5 pt favorite on the road??? People, Miami is simply not that good of a team! Houston gets their first victory here. Hous +3.5(2 units), under 40.5(1 unit)

Det +5.5 at StL, o/u 43.5
Detroit just looks horrible. StL is a lot better at home as evidenced by them beating Denver. I very much like the Rams here. Both these teams have made additions on defense, so I like it to be lower scoring too. StL -5.5(5 units), under 43.5(1 unit)

NE +6 at Cincy, o/u 46.5
NE needs this game more than Cincy. When is the last time that NE didn't play well in a game they needed? It doesn't happen often. Cincy will have a bit of a letdown, and I wouldn't be surprised to see NE win this one striaght up. NE +6(1 unit), over 46.5(1 unit)

Jac -3 at Wash, o/u 34
I'm a big Redskins homer, but I think that Portis makes all the difference in the world. Big game for both teams, so it should be hard hitting and well coached. I think Washington shows everyone that they are for real this week. Wash +3(1 unit), under 34(1 unit)

Cle -2.5 at Oak, o/u 33.5
Oakland has had the bye week to prepare while Cleveland just lost a heart breaker and is banged up. Oakland isn't as horrible as people think. Randy Moss will blow up one of these weeks. Oak +2.5( 3 units), over 33.5(1 unit)

Seat +3.5 at Chi, o/u 34.5
Wow...great game here. Seattle has clearly shown to be much better at home than on the road. I really don't like that extra 1/2 point, but I'm going to go with Chicago. In a surprise, I think this will be a higher scoring game than people expect as well. Chi -3.5(1 unit), over 34.5(1 unit)

GB +11 at Philly, o/u 48
Brett Favre on MNF? I could easily see him coming up huge. Or I could easily see Philly getting up 3 TDs and then GB playing hard until the end and covering by scoring meaningless points late. 11 points is a lot and the Eagles still have beaten nobody this year. GB +11(3 units), over 48(1 unit)


There you have it. Best of luck to everyone this week!