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Old 09-26-2006, 08:37 AM
Punker Punker is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2003
Posts: 2,662
Default My NFL power ratings

Based on my rating system which I devised loosely based on the Elo chess rating system. I "seeded" the rating pool by having all teams start 2005 with the same approximate rating, then running through all games of last year to get them their reasonably accurate starting ratings for 2006.

(having seen other posts, here's a bit better description of the factors the forumla takes into account: Win/Loss, point spread, opponent rating, and whether the game was on the road or not - ie, a road win is worth more points than a home win). I then factor in a small adjustment each week based on major injuries/players returning (eg, Seattle got the max downgrade due to Alexander, while Carolina got the max upgrade due to Smith).

1 Indianapolis
2 Denver
3 Chicago
4 Jacksonville
5 Seattle
6 San Diego
7 Minnesota
8 Pittsburgh
9 Baltimore
10 New England
11 NY Giants
12 Washington
13 Carolina
14 Cincinnati
15 Miami
16 Atlanta
17 NY Jets
18 St Louis
19 Arizona
20 Kansas City
21 New Orleans
22 Philadelphia
23 Tampa Bay
24 Buffalo
25 Dallas
26 San Francisco
27 Green Bay
28 Cleveland
29 Detroit
30 Oakland
31 Tennessee
32 Houston
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