Sklansky Points

[Boris]

Inspired by last week's NFL Pitt v. Miami game...

How many Sklansky points did Nick Saban cost the Dolphins with his girl throw of the challenge flag?

Me and JA Sucker came up with ~.75 on back of the envelope calcs.

For those who didn's see the game here is the situation: NFL team has first and goal on the 1.5 yard line. What is the team's total point expectation from that situation?

To make things simple let's ignore the fact that a fumble isn't that costly since even if the defense recovers, the recovering team is pinned deep in enemy territory.