Re: do i beat ANYTHING here?
he is putting hero on air about 1% of the time. he called the flop because he thought hero likely has set/AA (he didnt fold the flop because he has a pair that is above the board and no one folds those). when the turn comes, there's about a 0% chance that hero has air+firing another bluff. there is prolly a 100% chance that hero checks behind AA (unless he sucks). sets are calling his openpush obviously (even empiremaker said he calls and he loves to fold). if somehow all the money doesnt get in on the turn, a ton of scare cards can come on the river that will prevent KK from stacking QQ/JJ. in a pot this big, someone with AA can easily talk themselves into you having AhKh or somethin like that and making the call. whereas, if you check and they check behind, they're rarely calling a push unless they river the straight.
the most questionable part of the hand, if you have KK, is the flop. the turn lead-push seems good (especially if you're usin this line with AhKh semibluff hands as well).
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