It sure feels like he is ready to teach me a lesson....

[A_PLUS]

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Exactly what hand is he calling your flop bet with and then not beating you by river? Even his weaker aces have a 33% chance of holding a spade.

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I think he calls the flop with pretty much any pair. I think AX, QX, JX, QJ, 22-99, plus any flush draw, or Ks, Ts.

The turn doesnt eliminate anything from his range. I felt pretty strongly that he opens for a raise with AT, so the only real hands I am worried about on the river are KT, QT, JT, T9 (although T9 folds most of the time on the flop, unless he has Ts), and AXs. As for the AXs, I dont know where you came up with 33%, but that isnt right. We know he doesnt have the As, so there are 7 total combos of AX that beat us. That is a VERY small % of the total AX combos possible.

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Bet out on the turn. If raised you can fold rather easiily. If called you may have bought a free showdown.

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-He pretty much knows I dont have a flush draw, since all of the high spades are gone. I can imagine a bad bluff here.
-The showdown isnt free, since I just bet the turn, when I could have gotten to the river for nothing. If I am called on the turn, I can't really imagine folding the river, no matter what falls.
-In my mind, betting the turn ruins our hand value against all but a very very specific range of hands for villan.


I called b/c the spades left just dont fit any hands that call the flop except for the Ts, and AX.

Villan shows Ad6d, Hero wins.