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Site bias test
Hypothesis: New online poker players are treated to more winning cards that random chance would allow. It may be better starters or favorable board cards.
Experiment #1: Open dozens of new accounts and... Not gonna do that one. Experiment #2: Play single table $11 SNGs and make a note on every player every time you face them allowing you to identify fresh faces. After 300 hands, on every heads up hand VS a fresh face where either I or the FF is all in record the hands (and board cards, if any), the winner and then determine the exact expectation for the hand using twodimes.com. Compare the total wins VS the total expectation and look for a diverging trend. If things line up then all is well (maybe, but I'll accept this as confirmation of randomness). If things do not line up, well, here's where I need some ideas. Seems like if there is a linear divergance over time then there's likely a problem. I have only just begun to gather data. Please comment on the experimental design and possibilities for data analysis. |
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