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#10
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[ QUOTE ]
To those that advocate a raise... This would be a pretty lame bluff that gets snapped a hell off a lot more than a flop bluff. There is so much that he can call/push if we bluff here TT,99,44,KJ,J8,QT,T9,Q9,QJ are all possible holdings that can call a bluff. Unlike the flop, this board is NOT a good board to bluff into. Raising here does one thing: it commits half our stack on a 35% shot if he flat calls, and 100% of our stack on a 35% draw if he pushes. [/ QUOTE ] If we call I think we are only winning what is in the pot and losing everything else. I cannot think of a player who is not putting us on a draw with a flat call here. So when our draw hits we get nothing. And when our draw misses we just lost 1/5 of our stack. The only reason I like a push is because of the fold equity we could gain. Winning the 3400 in the pot. I would say 20% of the time. And the 35% of the time when we get a call and hit our draw to become the big stack at the table. |
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