96.5% to win just isn't enough sometimes...

[Albert Moulton]

This is the 4th hand of an MTT.

Level:1
Blinds(20/40)

10 handed

All players have approximately 3000T chips, which is the starting amount for this tournament.

** Dealing down cards **

Dealt to Hero UTG [ 2 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 2 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ]

Hero calls [40].
UTG+1 folds.
UTG+2 folds.
MP folds.
MP+1 folds.
MP+2 calls [40].
CO folds.
Button folds.
SB folds.
BB isn't at the table yet

** Dealing Flop ** [ J [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 5 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ]

Hero bets [70].

MP+2 is all-In [2900]

Hero calls [2830].

** Dealing Turn ** [ A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ]
** Dealing River ** [ A [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ]

Hero shows [ 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ] a full house, Twos full of aces.

Villain shows [ J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ] a full house, Aces full of jacks.

Villain wins 5940 chips from the main pot with a full house, Aces full of jacks.

I was a little curious about the odds of losing this after all my chips went in. So I checked.

Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing 2s 5c Jh
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
2d 2h 955 96.46 35 3.54 0 0.00 0.965
Jc Ad 35 3.54 955 96.46 0 0.00 0.035

That was the highest EV I've ever lost with for all my chips. It's also been my shortest MTT.

Whine complete. I'm glad there is a beat forum to post this on. I had to whine somewhere.