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50NL: 2-pair facing a shove on the flop vs. a donk
Villain is 58/7.5/2 over 147 hands.
Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players LeggoPoker Hand History Converter UTG: $87.55 MP: $31.10 CO: $98.50 Hero (BTN): $49.25 SB: $41.70 BB: $68.85 Pre-Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN) UTG calls $0.50, MP calls $0.50, CO folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $3</font>, 2 folds, UTG calls $2.50, MP calls $2.50 Flop: ($9.75) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 Players) UTG checks, MP checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $8</font>, <font color="red">UTG raises to $84.55 and is All-In</font>, MP folds, Hero? I'm getting like 1.25 to 1 here and villain is pretty unpredictable. I haven't seen him do anything crazy, but I play 9 tables and don't watch him in hands that I'm not involved with. He limps PF, so I'm thinking AK, AQ, JJ+ is outside of his range. Even if I am behind here, I have 4 outs for a full house as well as a back door flush draw (worth maybe 1 out?) I'll put his possible range in poker stove, but I want to see what others think and/or if the range I put him seems accurate. Output: Board: Kh Jd Qd equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 62.766% 60.44% 02.32% 123263 4741.00 { QhJh } Hand 1: 37.234% 34.91% 02.32% 71195 4741.00 { TT, AJs-A2s, K2s+, Q7s+, J7s+, T7s+, 97s+, 86s+, 75s+, 65s, 54s, 43s, 32s, AJo-ATo, KTo+, QTo+, JTo, T9o } According to this, a call would be bad, but I'd like to hear other thoughts on his range and/or my play. |
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