#5
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Re: 100NL: I Am So Confused
[ QUOTE ]
QQ: he knows the only hand that calls him has him beat KK: same as QQ...I'm never calling this with queens, so KK is never good if he's called AA: possible but highly, highly unlikely TT: why would he overbet when he knows I can fold an overpair? JJ: same as TT, and I don't think he'd raise the flop anyway 8-x: possible, but he's so nitty that it would have to be 98s, and even that is very questionable [/ QUOTE ] AA: he would have to have the only other two aces left. plus he didn't reraise preflop? KK or QQ: he didn't reraise preflop? (that argues in favor of him/her not havin them)... i think s/he doesn't put u on AA or KK b/c u prolly would've reraised his/er reraise on the flop w/ those 2 hands. u said urself it's hard to put him/er on 8x so why not reraise him back on the flop before that hand gets nastier like it did on the turn. (this, on the other hand makes it very possible for him to have them) JJ or TT: i think u r about right on what u wrote except that it is very possible for villain to reraise here w/ JJ to find out where s/he's at. one can lose a lot of money unnecessarily against an overpair on the next street if it's a blank. if villain is a solid player a reraise here w/ JJ is not out of line. 8x: u should also throw in 87 suited if u r sayin 98 suited is possible. also, for ur hand range calculations u should throw in 88 (altho highly unlikely b/c of the odds of floppin quads and b/c it doesn't make a whole lot of sense to play that strongly knowin u'll fold overpairs and that if u have a full house s/he's gettin ur money on the river anyways). anyways... u have a complete range of hands for villain. do the math and see if the 1.5:1 u r gettin on ur money is good enough for a call. |
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