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how many outs before raising/calling all in?
this happened today and I need advice (BADLY):
To build up this hand: I had been playing this table for about an hour. I had what I thought was a good read on the villian. tightish but aggressive when in a pot. a few hands prior he called an all in bet from the flop with pocket 10s and outdraw pocket KKs. I had also seen him raise PF when there were a few limpers to around 4 or 5 x bb in the blinds. I had just lost a few hands and was looking to get into pots with him in position and (hopefully) stack him. I felt I had a good read on him and had limped with a few hands against him (in position) and dumped them when he got aggressive. So basically I had been building to this: Full Tilt Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font> Button ($50.10) SB ($12.90) <font color="#C00000">BB <font color="#A500AF">(villian)</font> ($80.15)</font> UTG ($58.55) UTG+1 ($23.75) MP1 ($50) MP2 ($59.30) MP3 ($50.85) <font color="#C00000">Hero ($34.35)</font> Preflop: Hero is CO with 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, Hero calls $0.50, Button calls $0.50, SB completes, <font color="#CC3333">BB <font color="#A500AF">(villian)</font> raises to $2</font>, Hero calls $1.50, Button calls $1.50, SB calls $1.50. Flop: ($8) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font> SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">villian bets $7</font>, Hero calls $7, Button folds, SB folds. Turn: ($22) 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">villian bets $26</font>, Hero calls $25.35 (All-In). River: ($73.35) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players, 1 all-in)</font> . Final Pot: $73.35 Results in white below: <font color="#CC3333"> villian has Ts Tc (two pair, tens and eights). Hero has 7d 9s (two pair, nines and eights). Outcome: villian wins $73.34. </font> Now.. I put him on either an overpair (jacks) or A K/ A Q I guessed that from the flop I had 13 outs (please correct me if I'm wrong) and according to the rule of 4 that gives me a 52% chance to improve to the winning hand by the river. I knew he would bet close to the pot on the flop as he always did, so felt with staying in the hand as I had decided from the flop I was seeing this through. What shoudl I have done better? Should I have made a heavy/all in raise from the flop (giving me some fold equity), I didn't want to fold the turn, the pot was too big to let go... Any advice would be great... |
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