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#2291
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Actually, it kinda makes sense that drzen has a role like this (or is evil). He definitely wasn't playing his normal village game.
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#2292
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[ QUOTE ]
Thank [censored] I can finally come out. Bit drunk so bear with me. I am a rogue NSA agent. Every night I get to peek one person, persident or nonpresident. I was afraid I was going to get whacked before I struck lucky, but I have the prez. It's tarheel. I'm sorry that I don't have shooting the prez power. [/ QUOTE ] Awesome, that came at a good time. We should probably setup a second wagon. It's likely that he has a body double, but in case he is just tough. |
#2293
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There is a greater than 50% chance that tarheel is not the president
P(drzen is telling the truth)*P(body double) P(body double) is .5, drzen's claim is believable coming from someone with no pressure, but there is a nonzero probability he is faking to protect books or something. Furthermore if tarheel is the president the body double will die in his place --> we should lynch him + any village nightkill(s) should target him tonight. |
#2294
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tarheel
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#2295
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The funny part about this is if he has a body double (or is tough) Books will live until Tuesday.
Tarheels/Books wagon today? Tarheels comfortably in the lead.. I would say with more than double the votes to assure nothing like Teflon Den or something. |
#2296
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[ QUOTE ]
There is a greater than 50% chance that tarheel is not the president P(drzen is telling the truth)*P(body double) P(body double) is .5, drzen's claim is believable coming from someone with no pressure, but there is a nonzero probability he is faking to protect books or something. Furthermore if tarheel is the president the body double will die in his place --> we should lynch him + any village nightkill(s) should target him tonight. [/ QUOTE ] Well, sure. But there is nothing we can do but lynch him today. Kinda irrelevant numbers. |
#2297
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Yes, pretty convenient that books will live so long now... hmm
I'm just pointing that out to calm some of your irrational exuberance that we might be getting the head wolf |
#2298
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[ QUOTE ]
The funny part about this is if he has a body double (or is tough) Books will live until Tuesday. [/ QUOTE ] or maybe whoever is killing people for the good guys could..you know....kill books? Just a thought. |
#2299
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I'm not sure how the hell MDD got killed last night. I do notice that two of the people I noticed were in the sweet spot for the villager lynch on Wednesday voted MDD yesterday as well - OH and Reno.
I'm not sure that OH is a wolf, but I am highly suspect of Reno. Anyway, tonight's vote is easy - tarheel without question. |
#2300
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There's a villager sweet spot now? Man, i've missed so much.
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