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#1
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this is like my 1st or 2nd orbit, villain is 60/10/3 over 20 hands that i datamined before i sat (so pretty insignificant)...
Pacific Poker No Limit Holdem Ring game Blinds: $0.5/$1 6 players Converter Stack sizes: UTG: $100 UTG+1: $197.83 CO: $70.19 Button: $204.74 SB: $165.18 Hero: $100.88 Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2 folds, CO calls, <font color="#cc0000">Button raises to $5</font>, SB folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $16</font>, CO folds, Button calls. Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($31.5, 2 players) <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $22</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Button raises to $44</font>, Hero....? |
#2
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Situation sucks here, obv stats are fairly insignificant other than the fact that the villain is probably fairly loose.
It's pretty much shove/fold, and I could go either way |
#3
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What hands are you expecting a call from on this flop and that aren't already messing you up? C/c this flop. You have a gutter and a back door nut draw. See what develops on the turn before committing a bunch of chips.
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#4
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With this range, a shove doesn't look too bad.
Board: Jh Tc Ad Dead: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 48.206% 43.37% 04.84% 36924 4119.00 { AcQc } Hand 1: 51.794% 46.96% 04.84% 39978 4119.00 { AA, JJ-TT, A2s+, KQs, JTs, 98s, ATo+, KQo, JTo, 98o } I Didn't notice how few hands the sample was over |
#5
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60/10/3... shove.
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#6
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[ QUOTE ]
What hands are you expecting a call from on this flop and that aren't already messing you up? C/c this flop. You have a gutter and a back door nut draw. See what develops on the turn before committing a bunch of chips. [/ QUOTE ] If we call the flop, we've comitted almost 2/3rds of our stack. Can we really fold for 40 more, button is playing 200 bb's deep, but hero just has standard 100bb stack?? |
#7
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[ QUOTE ]
60/10/3... shove. [/ QUOTE ] |
#8
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I've been shown so many garbage aces in this spot against these guys. Typically they just call down but he's probably "protecting" his A8 since it is a drawy board. Even if he has AT/AJ you're not in that bad of shape.
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#9
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[ QUOTE ]
I've been shown so many garbage aces in this spot against these guys. Typically they just call down but he's probably "protecting" his A8 since it is a drawy board. Even if he has AT/AJ you're not in that bad of shape. [/ QUOTE ] If he shows you he has AT or AJ a push is +EV! We only need 31% equity against his range if he calls an all-in 100% of the time. |
#10
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I think given the villain, who's going to have a wider range than avg, probably correct to shove here.
Not that I like doing it too much. |
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