#1
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400NL - What\'s the best river plan here?
Villain is a 38/14/0.5 with an ABS of 28% over 60 hands, WTSD of 35. I've been raising a fair amount of villain's limps, and probably thinks I bluff too much - he flatted preflop KK from the BB against my MP open, got a river bet out of it when I hit a medium pair on the river. Flop checked through, turn was an ace and checked through on that hand.
Full Tilt Poker, $2/$4 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter BTN: $807.90 SB: $630.30 Hero (BB): $404 UTG: $432.80 MP: $134.80 CO: $785.10 Pre-Flop: T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BB) 3 folds, BTN calls $4, SB folds, Hero checks Flop: ($10) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players) Hero bets $8, BTN calls $8 Turn: ($26) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players) Hero bets $20, BTN calls $20 River: ($66) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players) Hero? I think he could be calling down here with holdings as weak as 22 on flop and turn. What's the best plan? Bet small ($30) to get value from [censored] holdings and also to get raised by T's? Bet large ($50-60) because he may call with [censored] holdings anyways, and still may raise with T. Is CRAI an option here? |
#2
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Re: 400NL - What\'s the best river plan here?
bet 55, let him call with whatever he has
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#3
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Re: 400NL - What\'s the best river plan here?
I don't see us being able to rely on this guy to bet for us. I'd just value bet.
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#4
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Re: 400NL - What\'s the best river plan here?
Bet 2X pot. Bad villains like to make hero calls and betting a lot means you don't have anything and are bullying him and he ain't gonna take that [censored].
That plus the fact that he never folds a ten or worse boat (which kinda makes me want to shove if only it were a raised pot). I think overbetting is optimum here. |
#5
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Re: 400NL - What\'s the best river plan here?
[ QUOTE ]
Bet 2X pot. Bad villains like to make hero calls and betting a lot means you don't have anything and are bullying him and he ain't gonna take that [censored]. That plus the fact that he never folds a ten or worse boat (which kinda makes me want to shove if only it were a raised pot). I think overbetting is optimum here. [/ QUOTE ] Do you think he will raise an overbet with a bare Ten? |
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