#1
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2/4: TT overpair line check
Villain is 15/10/2.7 over 400 hands. The only history we have is a pot where his AA stacked my QQ on a low flop w/70 BB eff stacks, so nothing interesting.
Poker Stars, $2/$4 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 7 Players LeggoPoker Hand History Converter MP: $459.10 CO: $200.30 BTN: $339.30 SB: $514.30 BB: $596.70 Hero (UTG): $649 UTG+1: $321.40 Pre-Flop: T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (UTG) <font color="red">Hero raises to $12</font>, 5 folds, BB calls $8 Flop: ($26) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">BB bets $20</font>, Hero calls $20 Turn: ($66) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">BB bets $40</font>, Hero calls $40 River: ($146) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">BB bets $108</font>, Hero folds |
#2
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Re: 2/4: TT overpair line check
i'd raise flop to like 55-60 and fold to a shove
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#3
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Re: 2/4: TT overpair line check
[ QUOTE ]
i'd raise flop to like 55-60 and fold to a shove [/ QUOTE ] That's pretty much turning TT into a bluff, right? Not that I think it's necessarily a bad plan, but I don't think I'm crazy about it here. |
#4
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Re: 2/4: TT overpair line check
You don't beat anything on the river, so fold.
I think raising the flop is ok. |
#5
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Re: 2/4: TT overpair line check
[ QUOTE ]
You don't beat anything on the river, so fold. I think raising the flop is ok. [/ QUOTE ] not saying you are wrong, but i am curious why villain can't have 99 here? |
#6
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Re: 2/4: TT overpair line check
Not to answer for SAB, but he could have 99 here. However, beating so little of his range doesn't justify a call. Sorry if I'm misinterpreting.
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#7
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Re: 2/4: TT overpair line check
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] You don't beat anything on the river, so fold. I think raising the flop is ok. [/ QUOTE ] not saying you are wrong, but i am curious why villain can't have 99 here? [/ QUOTE ] Because he is not value betting 99 here so would be nearly a pure bluff. If he is good he can also have 22 or 65s or 54s and decided to turn these hands into a bluff on the turn because our line looks a lot like an overpaire. But he can also have a set or something stupid like jacks. He can also have QJs and decided to bluff. The question is how often will he bluff here ? The answer is not enough to justify a call. With history you can call but there that's a really clear fold imo. |
#8
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Re: 2/4: TT overpair line check
[ QUOTE ]
Not to answer for SAB, but he could have 99 here. However, beating exactly one hand in his range doesn't justify a call. Sorry if I'm misinterpreting. [/ QUOTE ] i am not saying its a call. i was just wondering why he couldn't have 99 here, esp. seeing how he lead into a preflop raiser. |
#9
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Re: 2/4: TT overpair line check
[ QUOTE ]
Because he is not value betting 99 here so would be nearly a pure bluff. [/ QUOTE ] ok thank you. that makes perfect sense. |
#10
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Re: 2/4: TT overpair line check
[ QUOTE ]
can't have 99 here? [/ QUOTE ] What jetset already said. 99 is no different from any other "bluff" hand, and he's very unlikely to bluff 3 streets like this. |
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