#1
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if u ever wanted to see a good example of range merging...
i think this hand delivers.
villain is 31/28 losing player after 240 hands. no other specific reads. ive been playing sLAG. first, i wonder if anyone shoves PF here given villains PFR% even some of the time. ok onto the real dilemma. since he is playing sick LAG there is a pretty big chance i still have the best hand. if im behind i still have good equity as long as my flush isn't dominated. so here is where range merging comes in. if i shove here, villain is likely to fold some better hands that beat me and call with worse hands that im ahead of. its possible he could fold TT/JJ and a pair of weak queens. and on the flip side its also possible he could end up making a call with some type of hand containing an A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. the only way im in really bad shape is if he calls with any higher pair than me that also includes a diamond which is mostly AA/KK/JJ/TT/QT/QJ/KQ/AQ. this might seem like a lot of hands that beat me, but if you distribute all hands equally he is ~75% more likely to have those hands without a diamond. even against a set i have 9 to 11 outs (albeit he has redraws) which isnt in terrible shape. i also take down this pot right here probably the majority of the time considering how wide his PFR% is. thoughts? Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $5/$10 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter) SB: $928.00 BB: $1,015.00 UTG: $3,384.15 MP: $1,054.75 Hero (CO): $995.00 BTN: $550.50 Preflop: Hero is dealt 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (6 Players) 2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $35.00</font>, 2 folds, <font color="red">BB raises to $110.00</font>, Hero calls $75.00 Flop: ($225) 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">BB bets $180.00</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises all-in to $885.00</font> |
#2
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Re: if u ever wanted to see a good example of range merging...
why don't u just pokerstove his range?
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#3
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Re: if u ever wanted to see a good example of range merging...
how?
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#4
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Re: if u ever wanted to see a good example of range merging...
and why? im only getting called by better hands most of the time so i know im gonna be behind whenever im called.
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#5
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Re: if u ever wanted to see a good example of range merging...
i kinda like it cause he probably doesn't have much. i don't think he's calling with worse though and if he did have kq/aq i don't think he's folding, idk if he folds a weaker queen or three bets a weaker queen pf, that's unlikely imo, even for a guy with his stats.
if he would fire again as a bluff, but would fold to a shove, and you believe you're in good shape vs. his range, maybe just calling and peeling the turn might be an option. |
#6
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Re: if u ever wanted to see a good example of range merging...
This looks horrific. This isn't range-merging, its spewing.
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#7
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Re: if u ever wanted to see a good example of range merging...
[ QUOTE ]
This looks horrific. This isn't range-merging, its spewing. [/ QUOTE ] I'd be pretty surprised if OP's shove wasn't +EV. The question is if calling is better, which is debatable and time consuming to prove. |
#8
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Re: if u ever wanted to see a good example of range merging...
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] This looks horrific. This isn't range-merging, its spewing. [/ QUOTE ] I'd be pretty surprised if OP's shove wasn't +EV. The question is if calling is better, which is debatable and time consuming to prove. [/ QUOTE ] |
#9
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Re: if u ever wanted to see a good example of range merging...
Well I would assume he would have some other reads on opponent here. I don't think he ever calls with worse, so this is not an example of range merging. Not even close to one imo. I would like to have some idea of how the opponent plays postflop before I would do this.
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#10
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Re: if u ever wanted to see a good example of range merging...
i dont think u can ever say this hand is horrific. my equity is like 35-40% against his calling range. plus add in FE and its a slightly -EV push at worst if that.
edit: well actually maybe 30-35% since im gonna be crushed when he does have a higher pair+diamond. |
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