#1
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Fold Equity Formulas NL
Here are some formulas that some may find useful in NL, particularly towards the later stages of an sng .
Say you have S BB's after the blinds have been taken in and you're in the BB . Your opponent raises 3X the BB and you're in a quandary as to whether you should shove or fold . You guess that if you shove you will probably be a 2:1 dog if called . What percentage of the time must your opponent fold for a push to be positive EV ?? We wish to solve the following : 4x +(1-x)[2*(S+1)*1/3 - S] >=0 clearing we get that x>=(S-2)/(10+S) So if you have 15 BB's and your opponent raises the typical amount , you have to be certain that he will fold 13/25 =52% . This is true if we think our equity if called is 33% . If you think you have a 40% equity if called then the formula works out to x>=(S-4)/(16+S) So Nicho , if you're reading this , you can solve your 3 bet all in math problem using this formula . http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showfl...page=4&vc=1 S=800/30 = 26.666666 So x>=22.666/42.666666 x>= .53125 |
#2
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Re: Fold Equity Formulas NL
Thanks jay shark, your simplification is good. Whats the bottom of our shoving range if we only need 33% equity?
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#3
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Re: Fold Equity Formulas NL
[img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] jay shark nice work
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