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#1
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14 players left to start the hand. Both villians are basically TAG, with the sb being the looser of the two. My image is LAG
Full Tilt Poker Game #3398464881: $7,500 Guarantee (25454396), Table 3 - 400/800 Ante 100 - No Limit Hold'em - 7:23:01 ET - 2007/08/29 Seat 1: ChipnaChrrrr (18,908) Seat 3: n0tvalid (16,141) Seat 5: cubroc (48,795) Seat 6: el2ik (24,533) Seat 7: pokerfields (29,998) Seat 8: dcampbell_32 (59,481) Seat 9: anujieairplane (11,759) ChipnaChrrrr antes 100 n0tvalid antes 100 cubroc antes 100 el2ik antes 100 pokerfields antes 100 dcampbell_32 antes 100 anujieairplane antes 100 n0tvalid posts the small blind of 400 cubroc posts the big blind of 800 The button is in seat #1 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to ChipnaChrrrr [Ks Ac] el2ik folds pokerfields folds dcampbell_32 folds anujieairplane folds ChipnaChrrrr raises to 2,222 n0tvalid raises to 16,041, and is all in cubroc raises to 29,860 |
#2
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Im guessing neither of these guys makes this play with AQo, or anything. TAGs, betting their whole stack to win 10%, and two of em... I can muck AKo here. I sure as heck wouldnt show them it. I certainly wouldnt do it against someone that could 3bet me wide, or someone that makes plays.
Heres the problem. It only takes one of them having a top 4% hand and we dont have enough equity to make a pot odds call three ways. Hand 0: 28.091% 20.11% 07.98% 1331832 528752.00 { AKo } Hand 1: 28.675% 26.28% 02.40% 1740679 158649.83 { 88+, A9s+, KTs+, QTs+, AJo+, KQo } Hand 2: 43.234% 36.45% 06.79% 2413933 449699.83 { 99+, AQs+, AKo } So if either player has a top 4% hand, we really dont want to take this here. If they are both really quite TAG, and neither really makes plays, I think you can find a muck with AKo. As an interesting aside, look how much being suited adds to your position here Hand 0: 31.822% 24.34% 07.48% 532977 163839.00 { AKs } Hand 1: 27.217% 25.02% 02.21% 547715 48282.83 { 88+, A9s+, KTs+, QTs+, AJo+, KQo } Hand 2: 40.960% 34.61% 06.36% 757703 139267.67 { 99+, AQs+, AKo } If were against a 10% and 4% hand, being suited brings us up to a reasonable pot odds call here. If they are narrower than that, like top 5% and top 3%, we can fold AKs too, but I sure wouldnt like it. The fact that I am on the button here would make me call with AKs pretty fast I think, theres got to be at least SOME chance they are moving on my button raise. |
#3
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I would probably have put Villain 1 on a slightly wider range, but Villain 2 is probably tighter than that, which suggests fold even more.
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