this hand is NOT posted by recallme

FionnMac · #1 08-01-2007, 11:13 AM

Villain is 21/15/2.5 with 3.5/1.4 and 1.8 AF on flop/turn/river respectively, no real history. Thoughts?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $4 BB (5 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

Button ($757.90)
SB ($390.03)
BB ($373.60)
UTG ($1503.89)
Hero ($400)

Preflop: Hero is MP with J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
1 fold, Hero raises to $16, Button calls $16, SB calls $14, 1 fold.

Flop: ($52) Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $38, Button calls $38, SB folds.

Turn: ($128) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $99, Hero calls $99.

River: ($326) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, Button shoves for $265, Hero?

Gildwulf · #2 08-01-2007, 11:17 AM

It looks like a straight up river value bet with a q or better and everything got there on the river (67, diamonds). He is also more likely to check behind a non-set lower pair on the river once you call a turn bet. Easy fold imo.

tozzy · #3 08-01-2007, 11:22 AM

easy river fold. turn is close.

Morrek · #4 08-01-2007, 11:22 AM

probably fold. I'd bet turn tho

FionnMac · #5 08-01-2007, 11:23 AM

[ QUOTE ]
easy river fold. turn is close.

[/ QUOTE ]

i'm not sure about river, but turn is not close at all imo, no way i can fold there.

terp · #6 08-01-2007, 11:45 AM

it seems when we get to the river our range is very narrow and his is very wide - pretty good mix for getting owned no matter what we do.

Evigt_Drabbad · #7 08-01-2007, 11:52 AM

river is a call, busted flushdraw and some pairs etc

Yeti · #8 08-01-2007, 11:56 AM

i think its fine and i fold now, but if you're paranoid you're always folding the best hand in spots like this start calling or bet the turn to make it easier.

FionnMac · #9 08-01-2007, 11:58 AM

what do people think about bet/folding the turn vs c/c

True · #10 08-01-2007, 12:12 PM

fold the turn if you check