55 Satellite, Flopped 2 Pair from BB

[Harv72b]

Early in a 50+5 FTOPS satellite. We're down to ~310 left out of 432 entrants, top 100 win a $216 seat, everyone else gets nada. Because of the payout structure the whole table has been playing weak/tight--very few pots have gone past the flop and most hands have just been a raiser taking down the blinds.

Blinds: $30/$60

Stack sizes:
UTG: $1620
UTG+1: $1230
MP1: $725
MP2: $1020
MP3: $1825
CO: $2065
Button: $1532
SB: $1653
Hero: $1830

Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is BB with 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
4 folds, MP3 calls, 2 folds, SB calls, Hero checks.

Flop: ($180) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 players)
SB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $120</font>, <font color="#cc0000">MP3 raises to $480</font>, SB folds, Hero...?

I immediately thought AA after the uncharacteristic (for this table) MP3 openlimp, but do I trust that hunch enough to go for it here?

[WCGRider]

What do you mean by go for it? The only hands that beat you are, a set of 3's (unlikely because you have a 3), a set of Q's (Very unlikely because there is no pf raise), a set of kings, (no pf raise) and KQ (The most likely hand that beats you, but all considering not extremely likely.

To be honest i think your going to see AK and KJ here a lot. They have top pair and really dont want anyone to draw. The bet doesnt seem like any sort of draw, just a wierd raise amount.

I think by far the most likely hand here is AK, but there arent too many hands taht you wouldnt like to see. I probably reraise all in. If hes drawing, he isnt getting good odds, and if your beat, i cant see you not going broke here anyway

[Harv72b]

That's what I was thinking, but does the structure of the tournament change that at all? I.E., if I make a potentially bad laydown now, I still have a healthy chip stack &amp; only have to outlast another 200-ish players to win...or should I be ignoring that aspect of it &amp; just pushing my edge?

FWIW, as weak/tight as the table had been playing, I don't think it's at all inconceivable that he would have KK or QQ, though unlikely from a sheer mathematical standpoint (KK especially).