NL50 6m: AJ. C-bet an ace on the flop or check behind?

MightySan · #1 03-21-2007, 05:24 AM

Villian is 16/5/2.5 with call pf-raise 6.6 and showdown stats 27/71 after 440 hands. Seems to be tight...

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Hero ($56.60)
SB ($51.85)
BB ($17.55)
UTG ($42.20)
MP ($48.30)
CO ($20.45)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $0.25.
1 fold, MP calls $0.50, 1 fold, Hero raises to $2.5, SB (poster) calls $2.25, 1 fold, MP folds.

Flop: ($6) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
SB checks, Hero ...

What is your decision? We can beat only A9. Should we c-bet or not? Suppose, there were no history, rely just on opponent's stats.

Mattby · #2 03-21-2007, 05:33 AM

I would c-bet him 4$ and if he calls I would check behind turn and fold to a big river bet.

prodonkey · #3 03-21-2007, 05:34 AM

c-bet FTW

yeotaJMU · #4 03-21-2007, 05:36 AM

you have to bet this flop. are you going to try and check this hand down? likewise if he calls and checks turn check behind, but im probably calling a river bet unless its very large

0evg0 · #5 03-21-2007, 05:40 AM

betting here turns your hand into 56o.

ducy?

yeotaJMU · #6 03-21-2007, 05:41 AM

can u explain? i dont see why

Thremp · #7 03-21-2007, 05:43 AM

Cbet here cause you should be doing it a ton.

Sometimes people will call with Axs etc

0evg0 · #8 03-21-2007, 05:46 AM

he is never calling a bet on this flop while behind. ever.

so check and earn at least 1 bet from 77-JJ. if you get reraised, it's an easy fold. if he leads turn AND river, you may be able to fold river depending on the board, but chances are you'll get him to bet for you when he has JT/T9 instead of a PP.

if you check back flop and bet turn, he's ALWAYS calling with a pair when the board is anything but like a T or Q

yeotaJMU · #9 03-21-2007, 05:49 AM

now i see why. ty

0evg0 · #10 03-21-2007, 05:50 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Cbet here cause you should be doing it a ton.

[/ QUOTE ]

Doing anything for the sake of mixing up your play or whatever is bad. Especially at 50nl where exploitability means 1000x less than it does at higher levels.

[ QUOTE ]
Sometimes people will call with Axs etc

[/ QUOTE ]

even if this 16/5 did have AXs (which he doesnt), you're still getting the same amount of bets out him whether you decide to bet flop or not. it's not like he's going to C/C you down with his A7s on all 3 streets.