#51
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
Here are my picks for tomorrow, I feel they are very strong.
St. Louis (-2.5) Cleveland (-2.5) Tampa Bay (-3) Pittsburg (-9.5) --------------- The matchups: St. Louis vs SF Cleveland vs Baltimore Tampa Bay vs Atlanta Pittsburg vs Jets |
#52
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
[ QUOTE ]
What are the arguments for betting Arizona +3? [ QUOTE ] Even before I started to play poker I always thought there was way too much variance in a single season to analyze the impact of HFA. [/ QUOTE ] Football Outsiders calculated it based on home/road DVOA from 1996-2006. Arizona's HFA ranked third behind Kansas City and Minnesota. [/ QUOTE ] Cool. Got the complete list? I imagine Buffalo is up there too & Carolina is last. |
#53
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
I've got...
Cle -2.5, -108 Det ML, +130 KC/Ind U42,+105 Min/Oak U35.5,-102 |
#54
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
[ QUOTE ]
Cool. Got the complete list? I imagine Buffalo is up there too & Carolina is last. [/ QUOTE ] No complete list but the article provides the top 10 and discusses the issue in greater detail here. Buffalo is at #8. |
#55
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
Starting to get the feeling that the whole forum is on the Falcons. I know I am [img]/images/graemlins/ooo.gif[/img]
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#56
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
Eagles lost to Gradkowski and Young last year, but held them to 210 pass yds combined, however got no INTs and no fumbles - that will change today vs a squad with no Brown and Chambers and John Beck starting on the road. [unless #5 throws 2 INTs for TDs or tears his ACL again.]
Way too many people on Miami in this spot. PHL -9.5 +104 at T/s for 1 unit. |
#57
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
Does WR S. Smith being out for CAR have a significant impact on how the line should be interpreted?
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#58
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
[ QUOTE ]
Does WR S. Smith being out for CAR have a significant impact on how the line should be interpreted? [/ QUOTE ] I personally don't think so as he was questionable anyway and Carolina's problems haven't come from a lack of someone to catch the ball. |
#59
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
I am on Phi-9.5, Stl-3 and Hou/NO^48 - GL to all.
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#60
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
Dolphins +10
push Texans PK win Chiefs +14.5 win Packers -9.5 win Vikings -5.5 win Miami/Philly O40 loss NO/Houston O47.5 loss Colts/Chiefs U44.5 win |
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